A pre-emptive Iranian strike to ward off an Israeli or American attack on its nuclear project is a real threat, one that could send the region entirely off-kilter and one we must be ready for.
Pedestrians pass a window display of foreign exchange rates at a currency exchange in Tehran, Iran, on Thursday, Jan. 12, 2012. Photo by Bloomberg
In recent years there has been much discussion in Israel, Iran and the world over of the possibility that Israel will attack Iran’s nuclear installations. I myself estimated – in 2008 and at other opportunities – that it would happen “in the coming months.” There is still a reasonable possibility that Israel and/or the United States will carry out their threat and attack the nuclear facilities this coming spring or summer, if the sanctions can’t halt the Iranian nuclear program.
But there is another, opposite possibility, which few have mentioned. If Iran feels Israel or the United States are about to attack it soon, it could use missiles to attack Israel’s military airfields and perhaps additional strategic installations as well, in a pre-emptive strike.
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